Tuesday, 3 November 2015

NPV Base Case

NPV Base Case

1.    All Equity Financing
It is assumed that project is being finance entirely equity. It means that there is no gearing involved.

2.    Asset beta is relevant
Because it is assumed that, there is only equity financing. Therefore only asset beta is relevant, therefore if asset beta is not given, then asset beta is calculated for new business (using information of new business).

3.    Cost of Equity (CAPM)
Cost of equity is calculated on the bases of asset beta, and not on the base of equity beta, and that cost of equity is used to discount the cash flows.

4.    Discount Cash flows
Cost of equity is used to discount the cash flows (inflows & outflows) and to find NPV, such Base case NPV.

Example

Food business and have debt to capital ration 40:60 and equity beta of 1.3. The company interested in diversification and plan to enter in shoe making which has debt equity financing ratio 50:50 and equity beta 1.5, tax rate is 30, risk free 8% , market return is 12%. Initial investment 500,000 and 3 years cash profit are 300,000. Calculate NPV Base

  1. 1.    Asset Beta Calculation

Asset Beta        =               Value of Equity     x    Beta  
                                          Ve+Vd (1-t)
= 50      x 1.5  
    50+35

=.8823 (Asset Beta)

2.    Cost of Equity Calculation

Cost of equity = 8% + .88 (4%)

=11.52% (Cost of Equity)

3.    Base NPV Calculation

Cash outflows                                        (500,000)
Cash Inflows 300,000 x 2.42                      726,534

NPV Base Cash                                            226,534