Monday, 2 November 2015

Dividend Valuation

Dividend Valuation

Business can be valued in term of dividend current price i.e. discounting the future dividend. This has been explained in detail;

Dividend Valuation Examples

There are possible situation

1.    Dividend with no Growth
2.    Dividend with Constant Growth
3.    Dividend Growth and then consist Growth

1.    Dividend with no Growth Example

ABC Company is paying dividend $ $ 2 and cost of equity of the company is 12%. Then share price may be calculated as under

Share price = Dividend/Cost of equity
= $ 2/.12
= $ 16.667

2.    Dividend with Constant Growth Example

XYZ Company is paying dividend $ 2 with constant growth rate of 4 % .cost of equity of the company is 12%. Then share price may be calculated as under
Share Price = Do (1+g)
                      Ke – g

g = Dividend growth Rate
Ke = Cost of Equity
Do =Current Dividend


= $ 2 (1+.04)
      12% - 4%

= 2.08
     8%

= $ 26


3.    Constant Dividend and Growth

Dividend was paid .25 for 5 years, and then there is constant growth of 5%, cost of equity is 20%. Calculate the share price

Solution

A.   Calculate present value 5 Years Dividend
C x [ (1+r)-n-1]/i
= .25 (1.2)-5-1/.2
=.25 (2.99)
=.747

B.   Future &  Present Value of Share at Year 5
= Do (1+g)/Ke-g
=( .25)(1.05)
    ( .2-.05)

= .26
  .15

=1.733 (Future Value)

= (1.73) x (1.2)-5  

=.695 (Present Value)


C.    Total value of Share Price
             

Present value of Dividend 5 years
$ .74
Present Value of Share Value
$ .695
Share Price (.74+1.43)
$ 1.43